In today’s article, we take a look at the teams that brought in the most money ATS in the 2011-2012 season and see if they can continue their ticket-cashing ways this upcoming season as well. We’ll also consider the recent annoucement of a playoff to replace the BCS in 2014.

Will the most profitable teams of the 2011-2012 season be able to retain their money winning ways?

With an ATS record of 10-2, the Stanford Cardinal, led by Andrew Luck, were the best team in college football when it came to betting. Week in and week out, college football odds makers either undervalued the Cardinal or they just simply blew away the competition as bettors went to the ticket window and made tons of money with Stanford printed on their tickets. Stanford will not nearly have the same fortune this year, however, having lost Andrew Luck - maybe the best QB in college football since Peyton Manning - not mention his primary target Colby Fleener. If that wasn’t enough, some key offensive linemen were also drafted, and the defense lost a ton of players as well. Without Andrew Luck at the helm and without many former HC Jim Harbaughs players, we’ll see how good coach David Shaw really is.

The LSU Tigers went 10-3 ATS and made it as far as the National Championship game. As with Stanford, we believe there will also be a drop-off with the Tigers. At times last year, the LSU offense was absolutely dreadful and just straight up painful to watch. They lose both starting QBs, who rotated behind center, and are left with major inexperience at the position. Granted, they have talent at the position with Philip Rivers’ little brother and #1 QB recruit Gunner Kiel on campus, but neither player is ready right now to step in and make an immediate impact. The Tigers will once again rely on All American safety/cornerback Tryann Mathieu and the nasty LSU defense. The LSU offense may be so bad this year that there may come a time where they lean on the defense so much that they may just break. Though the Tigers did not lose a ton of players, we just don’t think this is a team that will even sniff the National Championship game again and possibly be left out of a BCS game as well. Be very careful backing the Tigers, considering that they may very well be just mediocre and could suffer a big upset or two. 

A.J. McCarronLast but not least, we have the reigning National Champion Alabama Crimson Tide, a team that went 8-4 ATS last year. Alabama lost a boatload of talent to the NFL Draft, especially on the defensive side of the ball, but make no mistake about it: they will regain their dominance as Nick Saban has the #1 recruiting class coming in. As if that wasn’t enough, they also have the 2012 National Championship game MVP, QB A.J. McCarron, returning. McCarron brings a TON of experience, and we all know that in college football, your team goes as far as your quarterback takes you. McCarron has great size at 6’4”, 205 and showed stints of superb athleticism late in the season last year. He will be complimented with two 5-star WR recruits, so the offense may change from pounding the rock to airing it out. Alabama will not miss a beat and will be right back in the BCS race in our opinion.

So, we look for a major drop-off from Stanford. The LSU Tigers are going to be a very hard team to get a read on and it’s better off for us college football bettors to just stay away from them all together. On the other hand, we can once again back Nick Saban and the Crimson Tide with our money and make a pretty penny back once again in the 2012-2013 season.

Be sure to check back for tomorrow’s article in which we will discuss other teams who we believe will be money making machines and possible sleepers.

Finally a BCS playoff

NCAAF has announced that, starting in 2014, there will be a final four type playoff format in which the 4 best teams will battle it out for the National Championship. Basically, the NCAAF will adopt system similar to that of the NCAAB selection committee. A committee of administrators will select whom they believe to be the four best teams in the country, and then those four teams will play in a final four-type setting, with the winners facing off for the National Championship.

Furthermore, these games will take place on New Year’s Day. College football used to rule the world on New Year’s Day, but the tradition has not been there in a long while; hopefully, the playoffs will bring it back. Don’t worry, though, there will still be plenty of bowl games for bettors to get cash in on. Apart from the top four teams, there will still be teams selected to play in bowl games as usual. Let’s hope this works well, because the NCAAF will follow this format for twelve years.

Which teams do we believe that NCAA Basketball odds makers are giving too much credit?

Not long ago, the Kentucky Wildcats stormed through all the competition and won the national title, John Calipari’s first as a coach. It was a deserved win for a deserved champion.

Alongside the Wildcats, there are quite a few schools that NCAA basketball odds makers are expecting to be right back in the hunt in 2012/13.

Who won’t, though?

Well, let’s narrow down the list and go through some of the perennial powerhouses and top 25 favorites first.

The Wildcats have lost their top six players from last season, yet Calipari is bringing in the nation’s best recruiting class yet again, led by top dog Nerlens Noel. He also has Kyle Wiltjer ready to step in and feature more prominently.

Group of 2012/13 hopefuls

Kentucky Wildcats John CalipariSo, the Kentucky Wildcats most definitely belong. So too do Indiana and Louisville.

The Hoosiers have Cody Zeller and Christian Watford coming back, meaning the team returns its top five scorers from last season’s squad. They will be the favorites to win the Big Ten and should also contend for the national title.

Louisville’s right there too, with Peyton Siva and Wayne Blackshear expected to lead a loaded team.

Who else belongs? Of course there’s Ohio State, Michigan State, Syracuse, UNC, Duke, Florida, Baylor and the list goes on and on. These are always big-time programs in college basketball and that’s going to consistently bring solid recruiting classes to these schools.

Michigan is loving the fact Trey Burke will be back. He’ll pair with Tim Hardaway Jr. to make the Wolverines strong once again in 2012/13.

Also, expect big things from UCLA, Arizona and NC State, especially the Wolfpack, who had anexcellent run in the NCAA tournament and return practically their entire team next season.

Cautiously optimistic?

One team we’re a bit wary on though? Marquette.

Not only will the Golden Eagles be competing in the toughest conference in the nation, they’ll have to do so without their top players from last season, Jae Crowder and Darius Johnson-Odom.

Marquette opens with a game against Ohio State and will also be competing in the Maui Invitational alongside schools like UNC, Texas and Butler. The Golden Eagles also play Wisconsin and Florida in addition to their Big East schedule.

Now, there is still talent here. Buzz Williams has guys like Davante Gardner, Junior Cadougan, Jamil Wilson and Vander Blue who could all make a difference. But will this young bunch be able to survive such a tough schedule?

We’re more worried for Kansas State.

The Wildcats lost highly respected coach Frank Martin and decided to go with Bruce Weber as his replacement. Weber was let go by Illinois after failing to make the Sweet 16 since 2005. He’s not a good recruiter but luckily for him Martin has left a pretty damn good roster behind.

Rock, Chalk………Overrated?

Rodney McGruder, Will Spradling, Angel Rodriguez, Jordan Henriquez and Adrian Diaz remain. However, we’re just not sold that Weber is the right fit in Manhattan.

Martin built this program into a legitimate power in college basketball and we think Weber’s going to have a lot of trouble keeping them there.

We’ll go one step further though and give you a team, ranked in many preseason top fives, that we think may be a bit overrated heading into the season: the Kansas Jayhawks.

The Jayhawks lost Thomas Robinson and Tyshawn Taylor. Those two were the heart and soul of this team and pretty much carried KU on their backs on their way to the championship game.

They have seven-footer Jeff Withey and prized recruit Perry Ellis, as well as Elijah Johnson and Travis Releford, returning, but is that really enough of a reason to rank them so high? We know Bill Self has done some amazing things in Lawrence, but this team lacks true go-to guys like they’ve had in the past.

Withey was primarily a defensive stopper and really has to develop his game offensively if the Jayhawks are to make another deep run. That’s not all. Many other things have to fall into place for Self’s team and we’re not entirely convinced that will happen.

Men’s college basketball provides an excellent opportunity to bridge the college football and NFL seasons with the NBA and NHL seasons when it comes to wagering on major sports. From early November right through the madness of March, men’s hoops offer a multitude of matchups to choose from on almost a daily basis.

The following is a look as the top schools last season against the spread along with a few that have shown the consistency to provide a solid return over the past three seasons that could very well carry into next season.

The Best ATS in 2011/2012

LobosThe top team in the nation last season ATS was the New Mexico Lobos. They compiled a straight-up record of 28-7 and as the No.5-seed in the West Region of the NCAA Tournament, gave the Louisville Cardinals all they could handle in a 59-56 loss in the third round as two-point underdogs. The Lobos finished the season a very profitable 23-9 ATS overall and 10-3 ATS at home. New Mexico went 15-15-2 ATS in 2010/2011.

One of the next best returns ATS belonged to the Michigan State Spartans. They posted a 29-8 SU record and also fell to Louisville in the NCAA Tournament with a 57-44 loss in the Sweet 16 round as 5.5-point favorites. Despite this setback, the Spartans racked-up a 22-12 record ATS overall and an 11-4 ATS record at home. This was a dramatic turnaround from a very costly 11-21-1 ATS record the season before.

The third shining star from last year was the very one that ended the first two teams on our list’s season; the Big East’s Louisville Cardinals. Not only did they make it all the way to the Final Four before losing to eventual champion Kentucky 69-61 as 8.5-point underdogs, they made a 9-0 ATS run through both the Big East and NCAA Tournament to close-out the year. The Cardinals finished the 2011/2012 campaign with a very profitable 23-13-1 ATS record while going an impressive 30-10 SU. Louisville would have been one of the teams to make our next list with a 19-12-1 ATS record in 2010/2011 but it was a costly 10-18 ATS the season before that.

Consistent ATS Money Makers

The team at the top of this list is the Ivy League’s Princeton Tigers. They are by no means the flashiest team even in their conference let alone Division I basketball, but over the past three seasons, the Tigers have provided a profitable return ATS. They finished 22-9 SU in the 2009/2010 season and were 18-7 ATS. The following year, they were even better SU at 25-7 and still a healthy 16-12 ATS. Last season would be considered an off year for Princeton with a 20-12 SU record, but it once again came through with a 19-9 record ATS. The Tigers should be at the top of your ‘ones to watch’ list for this upcoming season given their consistency over the past three seasons.

Another team to add to your watch list is the Colonial Athletic Association’s Drexel Dragons. They have made a steady climb towards respectability on the court over the past few seasons and could be poised for even bigger and better things next season. Three seasons ago they posted a very pedestrian 16-16 record SU and a 15-15-1 ATS record. The upward climb began in the 2010/2011 season with a 21-10 SU record overall and a profitable 17-12 record ATS. Last season, the Dragons won the CAA regular season title with a conference record of 16-2 SU and had an overall record of 29-7 SU, but were still snubbed for the NCAA Tournament after losing to VCU in the conference title game. They remained profitable all season long with a 20-14 record ATS.
Preseason Top 25 college football rankings are out at some sites and here are some teams that appear to be overvalued early.

Although the official polls have yet to release their 2012 college football rankings with the season now a bit more than two months away, the popular site SB Nation has released its preseason Top 25, and we have quite a few disagreements with their rankings. 

So before making your college football picks for this season, make sure to first check out the three teams SB Nation has ranked in the top 25 that we feel will not be there at year’s end. Then in the interest of fairness, we also give you a couple of team that did not make their top 25 that we feel will climb into the rankings during the season and end the year there. 

Finally, we will give you three teams that probably will finish in the top 25 but that SB Nation has ranked too high, as we feel good money can be made by fading these teams that are overvalued in our eyes.

We have included the future odds to win the BCS Championship from 5 Dimes for each team, although looking for odds not to win the championship would be the prudent move on these if the price is not astronomical.

Will Not Finish in Top 25
Case McCoyTexas (+3500): The Longhorns are ranked 19th, but we see no better than an 8-4 record for them in 2012 so they should drop out of the rankings fairly quickly. Yes, the Texas defense should be great, but there will be games where the offense simply won’t generate enough points to win regardless of how few points the defense gives up. The Horns got weak quarterback play from David Ash and Case McCoy last year as both were interception machines that were slow to react to defenses and made poor reads. Those same two top the depth chart this season with Ash currently penciled in as the starter. The Horns do have a terrific running back in sophomore Malcolm Brown, but because of the erratic quarterback play, defenses can stuff the box to stop the run with no respect for the passing game, making the job of Brown and the other running backs that much more difficult.

Kansas State (+15000): The Wildcats are ranked 12th in preseason, but this may have been the single most over-achieving team in the nation last year that was aided by an incredible +12 turnover margin and eight wins by a touchdown or less. That kind of luck simply cannot continue and the team also lost five starters from a defense that created 27 turnovers. Quarterback Collin Klein actually led the Big 12 in carries last year, and we do not think his body can take the wear and tear if he repeats that feat. The Wildcats won’t be able to sneak up on teams this year either, as they earned a lot or respect last season, but the thing is, Kansas State was not as good as its record and we expect the Cats to fall flat this year with opponents taking them more seriously. The addition of TCU and West Virginia to the conference certainly does not help K-State’s cause.

Ohio State (ineligible): Ohio State is most likely in a rebuilding year in its first season under Coach Urban Meyer and the Buckeyes are ineligible for post-season play as one of the sanctions handed down for the indiscretions under former coach Jim Tressel, but that did not prevent a 21st preseason ranking. We just don’t see it as this is another team with quarterback issues. Braxton Miller returns, but we are skeptical that he can improve much after Ohio State finished 115th in the nation last year with just 127 passing yards per game. Yes, this is an experienced team that returns 19 starters (9 on offense, 10 on defense), but this team has an almost identical profile as Texas as the defense is great and should always keep the Buckeyes in games but the weak quarterback play should ruin the good work of the defense on several occasions. Now we get that Meyer is a great coach and a masterful recruiter, but vast improvement will probably have to wait until 2013. Besides, let’s not forget that being ineligible for a bowl game is not exactly the greatest of motivational tools.

Will Finish in Top 25
Will Muschamp - FloridaFlorida (+6200): Of the teams not in the preseason top 25, we feel that the Gators are the most likely team to end up there before all is said in done. This was a team in transition on both sides of the ball last year that only figures to improve in its second season under Coach Will Muschamp, especially with Florida having the third rated recruiting class in the country. That adds nice depth to a team returning 18 starters (8 on offense, 10 on defense), giving Florida the pleasant problem of having too many good options for too few positions. There is no shortage of receiving options for developing sophomore quarterback Jacoby Brissett, as there is loads of speed on the outside with Andre Debose, Quinton Dunbar and Frankie Hammond heading the receiving corps and the Gators have not one but two of the highest rated tight end recruits in the nation in Jordan Reed and A.C. Leonard. On the other side of the ball, Florida finished eighth in the country in total defense last year despite starting a bunch of underclassmen, which bodes well for this year.

Louisville (+30000): This one may be more of a stretch, but remember that the rankings consider team records first and foremost and with West Virginia no longer in the Big East and with the conference champion/leader almost always in the top 25 rankings almost by default, the Cardinals are the most likely candidates to win the conference by feasting on a bunch of weak teams. Coach Charlie Strong has done an excellent job of building a very good defense practically from scratch, thanks to some great recruits from the southeast, where Strong was formerly a defensive coach in Florida under Urban Meyer. The offense improved as the season went on last year and it should continue to get better under the guidance of quarterback Teddy Bridgewater, now a sophomore.

Ranked Too High in Preseason
Matt BarkleyUSC (+500): SB Nation has USC ranked number one in the preseason, a popular sentiment among quite a few experts. Many people thought that USC was the best team in the country at the end of last season, when the Trojans were ineligible for post-season play. Now don’t get us wrong, USC will certainly be formidable, but number one? First, we are not fans of Coach Lane Kiffin and secondly, it is not even a given that the Trojans will win the Pac-12 over a loaded Oregon team that is also one of the best in the nation. Sure they get Oregon at home, but they did last year also and still lost to the Ducks, and a road date vs. rebuilding Stanford is not as easy as some may think as the Cardinal have a terrific recruiting class. One loss this year should be all it takes from preventing the Trojans from being number one, and we do expect them to lose one of those two games.

Oklahoma (+1300): The Sooners are ranked sixth and their all-time passing leader Landry Jones elected to return for his senior season at quarterback, but this team was a disappointment last season when it had national title aspirations going in due to a worse than expected defense, and we see a carbon copy for this year. We feel that Coach Bob Stoops has already peaked during his time at Norman as his teams have underperformed for several years now, and it seems that every year that have at least on bad unexpected loss such as losing at home to Texas Tech last season. Now we are not saying that Oklahoma is not a good team, but we see the Sooners finishing a lot closer to number 10 by year’s end than their current fifth spot.

Arkansas (+2800): The Razorbacks are ranked sixth and this is a team that only lost two games last year after all with the two losses coming to the BCS Championship Game participants Alabama and LSU. Unfortunately, this is a team that again is a distant third best behind those two teams in the best division in the country, the SEC West, and then there is the whole coaching fiasco following the Bobby Petrino mess. Arkansas hired John L. Smith to coach for this season only (as of now) and they brought in a whole new coaching staff. Apparently the top brass was not all that concerned about distancing itself from Petrino, as Smith coached with him here at Arkansas as well as at Michigan State, Louisville and Utah State.

Today we revisit two schools that were under investigation last season due to scandals, and take a look at how the programs have suffered or bounced back from their dark times.
What’s the latest from the campuses of the Penn State Nittany Lions and the Ohio State Buckeyes, and how are they rebuilding their programs as they try to salvage their reputations? 

Penn State University 

As we speak, Jerry Sandusky is sitting in a courtroom as his trial wages on. The last witness from the prosecution has just made his testimony and it was a compelling one. With the horrific accusations that not only condemn this man, but the entire program, will the public be quick to cheer on their Nittany Lions come fall, or will the one time “heroes”  have to regain the trust and love from the community that gave them a home for so long?

"Say It Aint So, Joe"

Joe PaternoJoe Paterno was many things to many people. He was a coach, a father figure, a friend, and the face of a community. While he should have left behind a legacy, instead his name now bring up the recollection of some of the most heinous crimes committed against children in recent history.

While Joe’s involvement with the scandal may never truly be known, the university made it clear that they wanted nothing to do with him. While Paterno wanted to leave the university on his own terms, he was promptly fired after over 6 decades with Penn State University. 

When writing the initial story last year, we discovered that Joe Paterno was called “the rat” for being nosey and keeping an eye on any wrong doing in the entire Penn State campus. Well, “the rat” missed this piece of cheese, and it has damaged his reputation and the lives of a lot of young innocent kids who had access to the Penn State athletic department and its facilities. 

Steal of a deal

We also found out that Joe Paterno signed the deed of his house over to his wife for $1. Obviously, he could sniff this scandal coming and in fear of lawsuit, decided to make a quick decision to protect his innocent family. Paterno was a very wealthy man and the value of his house wasn’t the issue but memories and other experiences don’t have a value. 

Health issues

It’s ironic how Joe Paterno was discovered to have lung cancer when this all went down. Although he was in his 80’s, he was still coaching up until the scandal. He had outcoached Florida State’s Bobby Bowden as was considered to be the main man in college football when it came to tenure. Paterno was coaching a highly skilled Penn State team in his last season, and unfortunately, any successes that the team had as a unit were all overshadowed and forgotten.

The family put out the word that things were going fine but as we know with lung cancer, nothing is ever fine and Joe Paterno passed away at the ripe old age of 86. Paterno passed Grambling’s Eddie Robinson for most wins by a coach in division 1-A college football with 409.

Paterno is still revered by many as a legend, and my take on it is that he knew something was wrong, reported it, but should’ve done more when he saw that nothing happened to Sandusky. This only enabled many more “violations” to happen.

Two people left in the dust are his son Jay Paterno and former assistant coach Mike McQueary. McQueary was also a former player at Penn State, backing up Kerry Collins, and was a dedicated coach.

The entire scandal started when McQueary was watching the movie Rudy and was inspired, so much that he decided to go to the athletic department and look at films. That’s where he discovered Sandusky in an illegal act with a minor and reported it to Paterno. McQueary has lost his dream job and the “Penn State dream” is somewhat tarnished as this trial goes on and Sandusky attempts to explain a mountain full of evidence against him.

Ohio State University 

The Ohio State scandal is a lot less “scandalous” and is more clear-cut as former Buckeyes coach Jim Tressel has paid for his lying and has somewhat landed on his feet for the tattoo parlor scandal which saw 5 Ohio State players suspended for the first 5 games of the 2011 season.

Terrelle PryorThis was an obvious violation, and one that Tressel failed to report it to the university. He was suspended for 2 games himself, along with the 5 players, which included star running back Dan Herron, Devier Posey ,and former OSU quarterback Terrelle Pryor. Ultimately, Tressel got out of dodge and resigned as more illegal acts had started to the public’s attention including a vehicle purchase by Ohio State players.. This enabled him to keep his reputation somewhat intact as a coach that took the Buckeyes to a national championship.

After Tressel resigned, Pryor also abandoned ship and headed for the NFL Supplemental Draft. This was a player that supposedly drove 8 cars in 3 seasons during his time at Ohio State. Obviously, something sound’s really wrong with that but Pryor is currently a member of the Oakland Raiders

The 2011 season

Aside from losing 5 players for the 1st 5 games of the season, the Buckeyes had a quarterback controversy between senior Joe Bauserman and freshman Braxton Miller. Bauserman surprisingly started out strong but the job eventually went to Miller. OSU finished the season at 6-7 but there were glimpses of success.

Dan Herron managed to have a respectable season upon returning to OSU action and he got drafted in the 6th round by the Cincinnati Berngals. Herron is one of my sleeper picks in the NFL Draft as his stock might have dropped due to the scandal.  

Urban Meyer 

While Jim Tressel is the Vice President for strategic engagement at the University of Akron, former University of Florida coach and 2 time national champion Urban Meyer got his dream job as the Buckeyes head coach. Meyer is an Ohio native, and he’ll get this university back on his feet as he’s had success wherever he’s gone. 

Saying that, the Buckeyes aren’t allowed to participate in the 2012 post season and any Big Ten Championships. Clearly, this is a team that will be huge in 2013 in the hands of Meyer. 

NCAA Futures 

Being non-eligible for championships, no future college football odds will be listed for Ohio State, while Penn State is listed at +1300 to win the Big Ten Championship and a whopping +25000 to win the BCS National Championship.

I’m not recommending them, but stranger things have happened; ask Kurt Warner and the St.Louis Rams who were 200/1 and won the Super Bowl in 1999. Throwing Penn State in as a lottery ticket at +25000 for a small price is a possibility with the defense. 

Summary 

Ohio State can’t participate in the post season and Penn State is able to. One crime is much worse than the other and if anything, Penn State should be the one that’s not eligible to play in the post season. We’ll have to wait for the results of the Sandusky trial.

All in all, the outlook for Ohio State looks very promising with a top flight coach, if not the best coach in the nation in Urban Meyer while Penn State will be reeling from this scandal for years to come.
June is often considered a fallow period in men’s college basketball, but there are always a few stories that could impact teams’ chances to win their conference or even affect their current odds to make a run at a national title.

The 2012 Navy-Marine Corps Classic

Florida GatorsLast basketball season brought us the Carrier Classic which was the first ever college basketball game that was played on the deck of a military aircraft carrier. The Nov.11 matchup between North Carolina and Michigan State garnered national attention with the President and First Lady in attendance.

This upcoming season, there will be three games played on the deck of a military ship starting with the Navy-Marine Corps Classic on November 9 between the SEC’s Florida Gators and the Georgetown Hoyas, from the Big East, off the coast of Jacksonville, Florida. In the other two games on the slate, the Big East’s Marquette Golden Eagles will square-off against the Big Ten’s Ohio State Buckeyes off the coast of Charleston, South Carolina and the Syracuse Orange, who are currently in the Big East, will travel to the West Coast to play the Mountain West’s San Diego State Aztecs off the coast of San Diego.

2012/2013 prominent coaching changes

With close to 350 schools fielding a Division I basketball program, there are bound to be a number of coaching changes in any given year. The following is a look at some of the most prominent changes heading into the 2012/2013 season.

Illinois Fighting Illini- Bruce Weber was let go after a 17-15 campaign that included a 6-12 record in Big Ten play. In his place is John Groce, who was the former head coach at Ohio. Bovada has opened the Fighting Illini at 75/1 to win this season’s national title.

Kansas State Wildcats- Frank Martin is out at Kansas State after deciding to take over the top spot at South Carolina and he was quickly replaced with Weber. The ex-Illinois coach inherits a team that finished 32-7 overall last season and made it to third round of the NCAA Tournament before losing to Syracuse. The Wildcats have been opened at 100/1 to win it all this year.

Virginia Tech Hokies- Seth Greenburg compiled an overall record of 170-123 during his tenure at Virginia Tech but a 16-17 record this past season proved to be his demise. He will be replaced by James Johnson, who was an assistant coach with the school but left this offseason to take a similar position at Clemson. Less than three weeks later he was offered the top spot with the Hokies. Virginia Tech is a 200/1 longshot to make a run at a national title this season.

ESPN’s Top 10 Coaching Jobs

ESPN recently released its consensus picks for the top 10 coaching jobs in the country. There were no recent changes at any of the schools on this list, as these are 10 of the most coveted jobs in all of men’s college basketball. The following is the list of programs, counting down from 10 to 1;

10. Arizona Wildcats (PAC-12)                     

9. Louisville Cardinals (Big East)                  

8. Ohio State Buckeyes (Big Ten)                

7. Syracuse Orange (Big East)                      

6. Duke Blue Devils (ACC)

5. Indiana Hoosiers (Big Ten)

4. UCLA Bruins (PAC-12)

3. Kansas Jayhawks (Big 12)

2. Kentucky Wildcats (SEC)

1. North Carolina Tar Heels (ACC)
This is the perfect time of year to plan your strategy for another profitable season of wagering on the games. Watch for any developments that might have a major impact on a particular team’s odds for a run to a conference championship and a BCS national title.

To help you along, the following is a look at this week’s most interesting news and notes from the world of college football.

Clemson lands another top prospect

Bovada currently has the ACC’s Clemson Tigers at 33/1 to win this season’s BCS championship, but they could be one of the top teams to watch in next season’s title run. The Tigers already landed running back Wayne Gallman and defensive back David Kamara as part of their 2013 recruiting class, but this past week Clemson reeled in one of the biggest catches in the class when defensive end Robert Nkemdiche’s announced his decision to commit to the school after a recent three-day visit.

The 6-foot-4, 270-pound Nkemdiche is widely considered one of the top recruits in the nation for the class of 2013 and is currently ranked as the No.1 prospect in ESPN’s top 150 players. He is the eighth recruit to already commit to Clemson and joins Gallman and Kamara as the third player from the top 150 list.

Ryan GreenRyan Green commits to Florida State

Many people believe that this season could be Florida State’s best opportunity to win a national title in the past decade or so and Bovada tends to agree. It has the Seminoles listed as one of its fifth-favorites to win it all at 12/1. While head coach Jimbo Fisher has to be thrilled with his team’s prospects in 2012, he also has to be excited about its chances for continued success with a strong 2013 recruiting class taking shape. With 11 players already committed to attend Florida State in 2012, the program added running back Ryan Green to that list this past Friday night. Green is currently ranked 36th with a bullet in ESPN’s top 150 players after rising-up 12 spots in the latest list.

USC’s Robert Woods hopes to be ready for training camp

The USC Trojans should open the season as the No.1 team in the nation given that they are currently listed as the odds-on-favorite at 3/1 to win it all. All-American quarterback Matt Barkley, who is one of the top favorites to win this year’s Heisman Trophy, is back for his senior year. He hopes to have one of his prime targets in the passing game, Robert Woods ready to go when training camp opens in early August, but that scenario is now in doubt.

Woods is still recovering from arthroscopic surgery this past December to repair his right ankle, which hampered him for most of the 2011 season. He originally thought he would be ready for spring practice, but continued inflammation kept him off the field. He has now been shelved from summer workouts in order to allow more time for the ankle bone to heal.

Last season, Woods broke the PAC-12’s record for number of receptions in a single season with 111 catches for 1,292 yards and 15 touchdowns.
The calendar has turned the page to June, moving us less than three months away from the start of another college football season. This is the perfect time of year to start putting your own game plan together for another profitable season of wagering on the games.

A vital part of that strategy is keeping yourself abreast of any new developments that could end up having a major impact on a team’s odds for a run at a conference championship and possible BCS national title.

To help you along, the following is a look at this week’s most interesting news and notes from the world of college football.

Arkansas develops plan for suspended players

Tyler WilsonBovada currently has the Arkansas Razorbacks at 20/1 odds to win this season’s national title, which is already a substantial drop off after the whole Bobby Petrino scandal earlier this year. Now interim coach John L. Smith is faced with the prospect of starting the season without wide receivers Marquel Wade and Maudrecus Humphrey and tight end Andrew Peterson, who were arrested in mid-May for burglarizing dorm rooms on campus.

A hearing is scheduled for June 15 to determine what future punishment these three may face but, if for some reason they were reinstated to play football in the fall, Smith has already made it known that they would have to follow the specific conditions of a set plan to “earn your way back on this team.” The actual details of the plan were not released, but Smith alluded to the fact that each player is facing a long road to being on the active roster come September.

McGloin tagged to be Penn State’s starting signal caller

Throughout the spring practice, there was speculation as to which quarterback on Penn State’s roster would get the start for new head coach Bill O’Brien, but that all ended last Friday when he announce that senior Matthew McGloin would indeed get the nod.

McGloin, who has 10 starts under his belt over the past two seasons, beat out sophomore Paul Jones, who just became academically eligible this spring. O’Brien stated that McGloin was clearly the most consistent quarterback on the field and gives the Lions the best chance to win at this point. Rob Bolden was also in the mix, but he has been named as the No.3 quarterback despite starting the past two regular season openers. Penn State is currently listed at 100/1 odds to win this season’s BCS title with Iowa, Michigan State, Wisconsin, Nebraska, and Michigan all having lower odds.

Big Ten clarifies its official preferences for the bowl system

With all the talk of a proposed four-team playoff for a national title possibly coming to fruition in 2014, the major conferences continue to expound on their position in relation to the current bowl system’s role in any of these changes. The Big Ten publically stated that it is still in favor of maintaining the status quo for the college football postseason, which would keep the current bowl alliances intact. They next acceptable scenario would be a ‘plus one’ format to determine the national champion followed by a four-team playoff as the third option.

The primary concern was to maintain and preserve the prestige and integrity of the Rose Bowl, which annually pits the top team in the conference against the top team from the PAC-12, unless either of both conference champions qualify for the actual title game.
How will TCU’s first season in the Big 12 go? Join us as we preview the TCU Horned Frogs upcoming season to see if we believe that they hold any value for college football bettors next year.

The Horned Frogs had an excellent season last year, going 11-2, including 7-0 in conference play. 

By far their biggest win of the season came over then-ranked #5 Boise State, and it was on the road no less. TCU would end up winning 36-35 in thrilling style.

TCU FootballThe Horned Frogs’ success mainly came from a prolific offense that averaged 40.8 points per game, the ninth-highest mark in the entire country. They averaged 208.6 YPG rushing and also had solid QB Casey Pachall running the show. 

Pachall stepped into the starting role as a sophomore and completed 66.5 percent of his passes, while throwing 25 touchdown passes against seven interceptions. He was unstoppable in the win over Boise State, throwing for 473 yards and five touchdowns.

A new environment 

Will Pachall lead his crew to another fabulous campaign this year? 

For the new season, the college football odds board has TCU priced at +5000 to win the BCS Championship game. They’re in a group with Florida, Kansas State, Michigan State and Boise State. 

There were some off-the-field incidents that happened around campus during the offseason and they’ve had huge implications on the TCU football team. 

Four players were kicked off the team in February after getting arrested in a drug sting. The Horned Frogs also lost four others for various reasons but apparently the main reason was poor grades.

One of those no longer around is running back Ed Wesley, who led the team in rushing in 2010. Luckily TCU returns both Waymon James and Matthew Tucker, who combined to account for over 1400 yards this past season. 

There was a far more overreaching change to the program, though. The Horned Frogs have moved on from their old conference and will now be a part of one of the toughest football conference out there. 

The Mountain West is a far cry from what the Big 12 offers up, and TCU fans should act accordingly with their expectations. The Horned Frogs should be striving to break even during conference play and anything more would be gravy. 

All about the offense 

Just look at TCU’s last five games of their 2012/13 schedule. They play road games against Oklahoma State, Texas and West Virginia and also play host to Oklahoma and Kansas State.

Now, the Horned Frogs have the offensive capabilities to hang in the conference, but their defense is questionable at best and there are even more question marks now after what happened during the offseason.

In truth, TCU fits right into the Big 12, a conference which sports some of the country’s most dangerous offensive teams. Quite a few of the competing teams lack defensive might and though the Horned Frogs did a fine job in the Mountain West in that respect, they may get exposed in their new conference.

That should make for a lot of entertainment this coming season.

TCU will be a fun team to watch. Be on the lookout for some total plays featuring the Horned Frogs, who saw the OVER go 9-4 in their 13 games last season. We can expect some huge numbers in terms of the college football odds but if any team can make it happen it’s the explosive Horned Frogs.