The Edmonton Oilers and Los Angeles Kings meet for the second time in four days as they finish up their home-and-home series at STAPLES Center. The Kings won Friday’s contest 4-1 and both teams have had an interlude since then.
The Kings embarrassingly lost 4-3 in a shootout to the Minnesota Wild while the Oilers won 2-1 in Anaheim on Sunday night.
There’s little reason to believe that the Kings won’t win this contest but nobody in their right mind can lay this kind of juice with them. That narrows the options to either a play on the total or a play on the puck line.
Monday, April 2nd
NHL odds: Kings -230
The Edmonton Oilers can win because…
They’ve won two of the first three meetings this season. The Los Angeles Kings are not a very high scoring team, so when these teams have met up in the 2011-12 season, the Oilers have consistently had a shot to win the game.
Friday’s affair was a bit different as they fell 4-1 but they won the other two meetings while outscoring the Kings 4-1 in those two contests.
The Oilers lost two straight to finish March but were still surprisingly competitive in the month. They finished March with a record of 7-6-3, which isn’t bad for a team that’s second-worst in the Western Conference. In recent weeks, they pulled out wins in Florida (+160) and Nashville (+180), so don’t discount the value.
The Los Angeles Kings can win because…
The Kings are simply the better team. Even with the shootout loss to Minnesota, the Kings are still 8-1-2 in their last 11 games. They’ve really picked up the pace as the playoffs have approached and they would actually be the No. 3 seed if they started today.
Jonathan Quick is once again leading the way in net and it’s tough to beat the Kings when he’s playing the way he is. Quick has given up just two goals in his last three games and has allowed only 13 in his last nine games (1.44 per game). For his career, he’s 6-1-3 against the Oilers while posting a 1.97 GAA and a .932 save percentage. Without question, he’s going to put his team in position to win.
All that means is that the Kings will need roughly two or three goals to get the win. Against the Oilers, that shouldn’t be a problem. Edmonton has given up at least three goals in five of their last seven games.
The Oil Can is just 14-25 on the road this year so even with a hefty payout, there’s little reason to like them in this spot.
Outlook & NHL betting prediction:
It’s a tough spot to really take either squad. The Kings are not a good pick on the puck line as they often don’t score enough to cover two goals and at the same time, the Oilers are just such a bad team that it almost warrants this crazy money line.
With that in mind, we’ll instead look to the under. Only two of the last 13 meetings have seen more than five goals, so the under has a good shot of coming through on Monday.
NHL Picks: Under
Be sure to take a look over the rest of my NHL picks for tonight