MLB Betting Lines
MLB Odds to win National League: +5500
MLB Odds to win National League East: +6000
MLB Betting Odds to win World Series: +12500
Not often do you find shorter odds for a team to win the National League then their own division, but that is because the Mets reside in the NL East where the dominant Philadelphia Phillies also play. The MLB lines are very steep that the Mets will make any noise in the standings this season, but if they would there is great probability that they would be a wild card contender since MLB sportsbooks list the Phillies as heavy favorites to win the NL East.
The odds should be probably steeper though, as the Mets are the only team in the five-team NL East not have made significant improvements to their roster. They watched short stop and 2011 batting champion, Jose Rese, walk to the rival Miami Marlinswithout even making a reasonable offer to keep his services.
They are on a sea of hope. Hope that Jason Bay, Johan Santana, and David Wright can stay healthy for the entire season. There is always a team in every season that looks horrid on paper in Spring Training, but somehow manages to have just the right chemistry and surprise baseball experts like myself. The Mets, however, are the Billy Beane A’s of 2004.
The Mets offense ranked sixth in team batting average at .264 and sixth in on-base-percentage at .335, but was in large-part attributed to Jose Reyes (.227 AVG, 384 OBP) winning the batting title and having a very high OBP. They ranked 12th with 718 runs scored and 16th in slugging-percentage at .391. These stats alone show how rare the Mets would get a key run scoring hit in 2011.
Josh Thole will be the starting catcher, but the organization is planning on a much more significant offensive contribution from him. In 2011, like so many other Mets starters, the power numbers were down significantly. Thole his just eight home runs and 66 RBIs and his backup, Mike Nickeas, hit for just .189 with one home run and six RBIs in his 21 games last season.
Ike Davis is the player that may jump start an otherwise anemic offense. He missed all but 36 games in 2001 with a severe ankle injury. Up to that point he was batting a solid .302 with seven home runs, and 25 RBI. Solid defensively, but the Mets need a whole lot more runs scored in 2012.
The Pitching Staff
In 2011, Dillon Gee led the team with 13 wins, knuckleballer, R. A. Dockey, led the team with a 3.28 ERA, Chris Capuano recorded 168 strikeouts, Jason Isringhausen had 19 holds, and Francisco Rodriguez had 23 saves. These numbers will have to vastly better and with different names leading these categories for the Mets to even by a .500 type team in 2012.
The Mets, as they are right now, on paper or on the field are arguably one of the worst teams in all of baseball. Sure, it is always fun to put 10 bucks on a long shot that would payoff big. But, make sure you have fun placing the bet as it will be the only fun you or Mets fans will have in the 2012 season.